Royal Canadian Navy Discussions and updates

BostonMartin

New Member
Frankly a province that is committed to Canada is more deserving of building "war" ships than a province whining about separation. Let Davie build icebreakers and other unarmed vessels, give the stuff with guns to Ontario! As for the number of corvettes, probably depends on whether 15 Rivers are actually built. Hopefully all are built then perhaps 8-12 corvettes, assuming they can be crewed. With up to 12 subs, 15 Rivers, 6 AOPS, 2 (hopefully 3) JSS, and other possible ships in the future, many more personnel will be needed.
Oh don't worry I'm sure an hypothetical Québec country would be willing to throw a bone to the Ontario shipyards and let them do the maintenance on the corvettes. ;) lol (Like Germany or South Korea will do for Canada r/ the new subs...)
 
I'm very curious to see how many they will eventually order to bridge the Kingston & Halifax classes (24? One can dream) and if they will pick only one design. I was reading that Ontario Shipyards and Italy's Fincantieri are also interested to bid.
Fundamentally the larger this design becomes and the further it evolves from an actual Kingston replacement, the fewer vessels the RCN is going to get. With it increasingly looking like the CDC is morphing into a multi-thousand ton corvette-esque combatant, I would expect something like 6-8 vessels if all 15 River class ships are eventually delivered. The RCN runs the risk of flying too close to the sun if they get too capable of a ship for the CDC, as it will call into question politically and financially "why aren't we just getting more of these instead of the big expensive vessels?" If the River class is cut down, you could see more ships but I ultimately think that is a very bad decision.
 

John Fedup

The Bunker Group
Fundamentally the larger this design becomes and the further it evolves from an actual Kingston replacement, the fewer vessels the RCN is going to get. With it increasingly looking like the CDC is morphing into a multi-thousand ton corvette-esque combatant, I would expect something like 6-8 vessels if all 15 River class ships are eventually delivered. The RCN runs the risk of flying too close to the sun if they get too capable of a ship for the CDC, as it will call into question politically and financially "why aren't we just getting more of these instead of the big expensive vessels?" If the River class is cut down, you could see more ships but I ultimately think that is a very bad decision.
Absolutely spot on wrt the River to Corvette ratio. Losing Rivers in order to have more less expensive corvettes, crap decision which sadly will be entertained by our pollies no doubt.
 

BostonMartin

New Member
Fundamentally the larger this design becomes and the further it evolves from an actual Kingston replacement, the fewer vessels the RCN is going to get. With it increasingly looking like the CDC is morphing into a multi-thousand ton corvette-esque combatant, I would expect something like 6-8 vessels if all 15 River class ships are eventually delivered. The RCN runs the risk of flying too close to the sun if they get too capable of a ship for the CDC, as it will call into question politically and financially "why aren't we just getting more of these instead of the big expensive vessels?" If the River class is cut down, you could see more ships but I ultimately think that is a very bad decision.
Haven't seen it this way. Very true.
 

John Fedup

The Bunker Group
A very fair assessment on both boats and I agree the SKorean boat appears to better meet the RCN’s needs. One factor not mentioned is what kind of weighting will apply to industrial benefits offered by SKorea and Germany. The army has serious equipment needs that both vendors can offer wrt industrial benefits.
 

Sender

Active Member
I suspect that if we buy the Korean subs, the army stuff will go to Europe. There is a substantial requirement for tanks and self-propelled artillery, and if rumours are correct, the army is looking for large numbers of both. There is also the $18.4 Billion helicopter replacement project (nTACS), which would likely go to Europe and/or the US. I think the government will look to satisfy the Europeans, Koreans, and Americans with all these purchases. I think that's why we will commit to the entire order of 88 F-35s. That, with the recent P-8, MQ-9B, SPY7/AEGIS/ESSM/SM-2/Tomahawk, and rumoured $6Billion HIMARS purchase, should satisfy the Americans. The rest will be divided between Korea and Europe.
 

John Fedup

The Bunker Group
I suspect that if we buy the Korean subs, the army stuff will go to Europe. There is a substantial requirement for tanks and self-propelled artillery, and if rumours are correct, the army is looking for large numbers of both. There is also the $18.4 Billion helicopter replacement project (nTACS), which would likely go to Europe and/or the US. I think the government will look to satisfy the Europeans, Koreans, and Americans with all these purchases. I think that's why we will commit to the entire order of 88 F-35s. That, with the recent P-8, MQ-9B, SPY7/AEGIS/ESSM/SM-2/Tomahawk, and rumoured $6Billion HIMARS purchase, should satisfy the Americans. The rest will be divided between Korea and Europe.
nTACS is for multiple applications, perhaps some V-280s from the US and helicopters from Europe. A SK sub purchase likely means German tanks and SPGs but SK has some viable alternatives. Too bad GCAP is a ways off because I wouldn’t object to a mixed fleet of F-35s and GCAPs, especially if Trump continues his BS and let’s face it LM and P&W haven’t performed upgrades on time and costs are increasing and readiness rates ~50-60%. LM is fortunate there are no viable alternatives.
 

BostonMartin

New Member
I suspect that if we buy the Korean subs, the army stuff will go to Europe. There is a substantial requirement for tanks and self-propelled artillery, and if rumours are correct, the army is looking for large numbers of both. There is also the $18.4 Billion helicopter replacement project (nTACS), which would likely go to Europe and/or the US. I think the government will look to satisfy the Europeans, Koreans, and Americans with all these purchases. I think that's why we will commit to the entire order of 88 F-35s. That, with the recent P-8, MQ-9B, SPY7/AEGIS/ESSM/SM-2/Tomahawk, and rumoured $6Billion HIMARS purchase, should satisfy the Americans. The rest will be divided between Korea and Europe.
Great read. Both are very capable subs and I'll be very happy if they pick the KSS-III to be honest but this part leaves a bit confused: "For Canada, that means the 212CD is a stealthy ambush submarine first and a strike platform only if Ottawa decides to fund non-trivial integration work."
Which work? My understanding is that they would just need to buy the right missile for that purpose and launch them from the horizontal tubes.

"The Type 212CD, a ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems (TKMS) submarine, is designed to have land-attack capability using Norwegian Naval Strike Missiles (NSM), which are adaptable long-range weapons that can hit both maritime and land-based targets."

"The NSM Block 1A missile is capable of engaging both marine and land targets with remarkable precision, particularly along the shore or coast. "


Now I suppose the overall capability or range isn't the same as to what the KSS-III VLS can do and I'm sure NATO partners would appreciate having that possibility added in the mix, specially with the US pulling away from Europe lately.
 

OldTex

Well-Known Member
Great read. Both are very capable subs and I'll be very happy if they pick the KSS-III to be honest but this part leaves a bit confused: "For Canada, that means the 212CD is a stealthy ambush submarine first and a strike platform only if Ottawa decides to fund non-trivial integration work."
Which work? My understanding is that they would just need to buy the right missile for that purpose and launch them from the horizontal tubes.

"The Type 212CD, a ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems (TKMS) submarine, is designed to have land-attack capability using Norwegian Naval Strike Missiles (NSM), which are adaptable long-range weapons that can hit both maritime and land-based targets."

"The NSM Block 1A missile is capable of engaging both marine and land targets with remarkable precision, particularly along the shore or coast. "


Now I suppose the overall capability or range isn't the same as to what the KSS-III VLS can do and I'm sure NATO partners would appreciate having that possibility added in the mix, specially with the US pulling away from Europe lately.
The submarine launched NSM was reportedly cancelled in 2021. Netherlands and Spain are proposing a TTL (torpedo tube launched) version of the JSM (Joint Strike Missile), with the JSM also being a development of the NSM. If this missile was to be selected as the long-range land attack missile there would still be integration work required for whichever submarine is selected.
 

BostonMartin

New Member
Canada won't split its submarine contract between suppliers: Carney

Seems obvious to me that they should only pick one but by reading the article it seems the option to have a mixed fleet was (is?) seriously considered. Interesting.

"An industry source who asked not to be named due to the private nature of government meetings told The Canadian Press senior officials have floated the idea of splitting the contract for months behind the scenes. The source said it's not immediately clear how seriously Canada is considering this.


"Could we buy six of the Type 212 from Germany and Norway and six of the KSS-III from Korea? Yeah, we could," Topshee said."
 

John Fedup

The Bunker Group
Probably not cost effective but SKorea for the Pacific and German for the Atlantic Arctic could work and builds the defence relationship with two major military kit manufacturers for future business. Still believe SKorea will be selected for all subs.
 

Sender

Active Member
Vice-Admiral Angus Topshee - Feature Interview Canadian Defence

Great interview with the head of the Navy in Canadian Defence Review Magazine a few months ago, I've picked out some sections I think would interest folks here.

CDR: "What do submarines mean to the Royal Canadian Navy, and what kind of timelines are you tracking for the Canadian Patrol Submarine Project?"

VAdm Topshee: "I talked about how every Canadian expects us to know what’s on and under the waters around Canada, and especially our Canadian waters, including our exclusive economic zones. If we’re serious about owning those waters, about controlling who can come into those waters, then the best capability for that is a submarine. And if we want to be able to protect all three of our oceans simultaneously, which is the expectation, then you need a fleet of 12, because that ensures that you have at least three available for operations and able to do any mission a submarine might need to take on at any time. Ideally, we’ll have three others to support training, force generation, potentially a deployment elsewhere, and to make sure that if one of those three high readiness submarines has a problem, there’s another to replace it. There’ll be three that are in depot level maintenance, and then three that are in lower levels of maintenance cycles because submarines are incredibly complex vessels. That ratio of four submarines to maintain one at high readiness is the internationally accepted standard.

The submarine we own today was a used submarine that was designed to do one thing for us, and that was preserve our ability to generate submariners and maintain the knowledge and skills required to successfully operate a submarine force. By that metric, it has been successful. We have over 200 qualified submariners currently in the Royal Canadian Navy. That’s the seed corn, the nucleus, of the sailors that we need for the future fleet, and we can grow that into enough sailors to operate 12 submarines. So I’m optimistic. The government seems to be as keen on this project as we are. The Prime Minister has been clear in his comments that the plan is to buy up to 12 conventionally powered submarines, and I’m hopeful that that project is moving at pace, and hopefully it will continue to move at pace.

What’s driving the timeline? It generally takes seven years to build a submarine from the moment you sign a contract. We will be retiring in Victoria class early in the 2030s, and 2035 at the latest, so the clock is ticking. We have to make a decision because we need to start building a submarine, because that day where the submarine is delivered is just the start of us learning to operate it. So from my point of view, I would love for us to be able to get to the place where we’ve made a decision about the right submarine for Canada, ideally by the end of the year. It’s a very ambitious timeline, but it is achievable."


The want to have the decision made on either the Type 212CD or the KSS-III Batch II before the end of 2025 is very ambitious, and lines up with many of the rumours I've heard that this will ultimately be done by a government to government sole source contract. This program is moving incredibly fast for Canadian procurement standards and I hope we can stick to this supposed timeline. It seems to be an open questions who the program will be awarded to, as both parties have put a lot of work into selling themselves and gaining favour.

CDR: "The Navy has announced it is starting to pay off the MCDV fleet. What do you want to see as a replacement of the MCDV?"

VAdm Topshee: "The Kingston class has been fantastic since its introduction into service in the 1990s. They’ve deployed to places no one ever thought they would go. The name gives it away: Maritime Coastal Defence Vessel. They were not supposed to ever go to Hawaii or repeatedly cross the Atlantic. They’ve proven to be remarkably flexible in what they’ve done.

The problem I face as we look at building the River Class Destroyers to take over the response capability of the main surface combatant from the Halifax class, and we recognize that we’ve got the Harry DeWolf class that can go up in the north, is there’s a gap between those two. We need something that can deal with most threats that isn’t going to provide air defence or protection to anyone else, but can defend itself in a fight, and is not afraid of ice. So not an icebreaker, but can go to the ice edge and can rip about at speed near ice. That should be consistent with a hull form that still allows it to have a sonar and still allows it to move with enough speed to be relevant as a combatant. It’s basically the same capability set that’s currently in the Halifax class, shrunk down to a smaller package with an ice edge capability, roughly a Polar Class 6. So that’s what we’re talking about as a Continental Defence Corvette, and we’re working to develop the high-level mandatory requirements for what exactly that would look like. We deliberately chose the name Corvette because we’re trying to indicate that it’s a tier of combatant — it definitely can fight, but it’s not the thing that’s the heart of the fleet."


Saying they want a Polar Class 6 rated corvette for operations in the Arctic is a significant departure from prior comments, as this rating will require serious modifications to the design. The AOPS are Polar Class 5 rated on the majority of the hull, with a further reinforced Polar Class 4 bow section. The Canadian Coast Guard's new offshore oceanographic and hydrographic survey vessel is also rated for this same class, which allows summer/autumn operation in medium first-year ice which may include old ice inclusions between 70 to 120 cm (2.3 to 3.9 ft). All of this additional weight, hull changes, etc on top of the vessel still being able to have a sonar, able to defend itself and move at speeds relevant to be a combatant is going to result in a complex, expensive and most importantly, a bespoke design at the end of the day.

We have moved far beyond a replacement for the Kingston class, we are approaching what looks to be a replacement for the Halifax class given how Topshee apparently wants the same capability set as they have but shrunk down and ice capable.

Navy commander wants 'Canadian from the core' corvette fleet

"Vice-Admiral Angus Topshee tells The Canadian Press he’s looking for ships with a long range that pack a punch in combat and can also deal with Arctic ice.

That likely will result in a set of requirements unique to Canada’s military.

Topshee says the navy wants the ships to be “Canadian from the core” and “absolutely built in Canada,” wherever possible.

The navy is still in the early stages of its search for a dozen or more corvette warships that would be smaller than frigates - one of the next major procurement projects the military is expected to pursue after it settles on a new fleet of submarines.

The current Kingston-class coastal defence vessels are approaching the end of their lifespans, with eight of the twelve ships leaving service this fall and the rest expected to retire by 2029."


It also seems like they want this design to be Canadian designed, Canadian built and equipped with as much Canadian equipment as possible. Alongside what I discussed above, this will seemingly lock us into a bespoke or heavily modified design that will need to be built domestically. I would expect maybe as low as 4-6 of these ships to be procured, and they somehow need to replace 12 Kingston class vessels in their low cost patrol, training and mine warfare roles? Consider me skeptical.

CDR: "Would you want it to have a flight deck that would be able to accommodate a Cyclone helicopter?"

VAdm Topshee: "The Cyclone has been a colossal disappointment. I’m exceptionally disappointed in Lockheed Martin/Sikorsky. I think they’ve delivered an absolute lemon. It is amazing what the incredible aviators at 12 Wing manage to do with it. The availability, the maintenance, the cost, it all needs to get better — it needs to get drastically better. And for all of those reasons, there’s no world in which I will design a Canadian Continental Defence Corvette to carry a Cyclone helicopter, because there’s no world in which I see that becoming a useful helicopter, and if that changes, great, but by the time it does, we’ll probably be really good at uncrewed and remotely operated systems."

This is the most surprising part of the article personally, absolutely putting the Cyclone on blast finally and calling out the utter incompetence from Lockheed/Sikorsky/Govt that has put us in a situation where our aircraft have outdated data links and operational reliability/safety issues. I would like to see the Cyclones be replaced at this point sometime soon, as they seem to be a lost cause. Merlin seems to fit our needs fairly well, and would be a final slap in the face to Jean Chrétien's nonsense all those years ago. Perhaps the Seahawk is on the table as well, as Lockheed could use it to right the wrongs of the Cyclone and still keep a customer as well?
 
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