NZ like all nations will crystal ball the impact of the unmanned/manned mix going forward.Maybe just skip a gen and go straight to looking at combat drones.
interesting times
Cheers S.
NZ like all nations will crystal ball the impact of the unmanned/manned mix going forward.Maybe just skip a gen and go straight to looking at combat drones.
But is an ACF cost effective? It is going to cost about $8 billion and take 10 - 15 years for it to be stood up and established to FOC. $8 billion can buy us three frigates and three more P-8A Poseidons, as an example. What are you going to use an ACF for? Our sole ally and our partners already have a goodly supply of fast jets in the region. We don't have an unlimited money pot, so we have to spend what we are given wisely. NZDF has been hollowed out and we have more than one capability issue to address.Understanding that this is a RNZN thread, I'll sail on anyway with pleasure:
Nga. ACF: It will cost approximately $8 billion and take a minimum of 10 - 15 years to stand up a viable ACF. We don't have the money, nor the time, so that money is better invested in other more pertinent NZDF capabilities.
I note that:
- ANZAC FFH replacement will be in the same expenditure/time envelope, if not more so; does that mean we should ignore their 4 - 6 unit replacement too; I would assume not, so why use this as an argument when ACF may also be a critical/cost effective NZ maritime war fighting capability?
- DCP is looking at some sort of long range fires, in the future, separate to possible FF/P-8 fires; why would you spend limited $B on a limited role SSM that sits waiting for trade when ACF has (yes you know it) vastly better flexibility, firepower, and speed/range?
- how/when ACF is reinstated into the RNZAF is for the bosses but if the eventual answer is not F-35A, then lets not bother please (I.E., the latest Pakistan/India OCA ding-dong)
Contrary to popular belief combat drones are not the be all to end all. Such a capability is in its infancy and the NZ government will consider it far to fiscally risky.Maybe just skip a gen and go straight to looking at combat drones.
Why would it do that? The Royal Danish Navy operate such frigates, especially Arctic waters. HMNZS Aotearoa is ice strengthened and being a tanker is a high priority target.Unfortunately it would make frigates easy prey for subs with slower speed.
Vote | 2024/25 | 2025/26 | 2026/27 | 2027/28 | 2028/29 | Operating Total | Capital Total |
Defence Force | - | 0.700 | 1.300 | 1.663 | 1.712 | 5.375 | 25.185 |
Maybe they dust off those F-16s nz were supposed to get 20 odd years ago.As I have said before, due to our location I think refitted second hand ACF aircraft would be adequate to provide a reasonable level of defence and deterrent for NZ making the cost significantly less.
The other factor is what can we have for a similar cost that would provide a similar level of defence and deterrent. The reality is that introducing a significant upgrade to the NZDF to put it in a position to be an effective defence force with a significant deterrent ability is going to take a significant period of time and budget to achieve meaningful results, something that the recent announcements will not achieve.
At the risk of discussing maritime air capability in a maritime thread, it depends what your combat drone CONOPS are.Contrary to popular belief combat drones are not the be all to end all. Such a capability is in its infancy and the NZ government will consider it far to fiscally risky.
Current Frigates only have 2x engines double hull required 3 or 4 engines per ship depending on size. I believe next ships down from frigates should be able to dual purpose example patrol/MCM etc .The vessel for patrol in the southern waters should be built to suit conditions.Why would it do that? The Royal Danish Navy operate such frigates, especially Arctic waters. HMNZS Aotearoa is ice strengthened and being a tanker is a high priority target.
Yes but have 3 or 4 engines to maintain speed of conventional Frigates with 2 engines better have purpose built patrol ship that can multirole .Why would it do that? The Royal Danish Navy operate such frigates, especially Arctic waters. HMNZS Aotearoa is ice strengthened and being a tanker is a high priority target.