Finally had a chance to sit down and have a read through the Naval Shipbuilding Plan (link here):
http://www.defence.gov.au/navalshipbuildingplan/Docs/NavalShipbuildingPlan.pdf
Is it perfect? Probably not, but at first glance, at least there is a 'roadmap' set for the future of 'continuous' build of 'three streams' across the fleet, specifically submarines, major surface combatants (destroyer/frigate type ships), and all of the 'minor' ships in the fleet.
The 'fourth stream', which doesn't get a mention is the future replacement of the RAN's 'heavy metal', 2 x LHD's,1(2?) x LSD's, 2(3?) x AOR's (the DIIP, as we know, mentions either an additional Choules/LSD type ship or an AOR, not both, pity!!).
How true to course the roadmap ends up being will depend on 'future' Governments, of all persuasions, (my fear will be if we have another 'left of the left' Gillard type Government who is more than happy to rip dollars out of defence for some other purpose, hopefully not!).
When the talk of 'continuous' build came up a few years ago, I was a bit sceptical of how that could be achieved (considering the overall size of the feet), as especially when there were 'three' different types of streams that would need to be under construction at the same time, concurrently not consecutively.
But the plan does appear to address that:
* Submarines - 12 Shortfins under construction from 2022-3 to the late 2040's, and then followed by the replacement of those 12 boats (continuous build, yes).
* Major surface combatants - 9 Future Frigates under construction from 2020 to the late 2030's, then followed by the AWD replacements and then the replacements of the Future Frigates (again, continuous build).
* Minor naval vessels - 12 OPV's under construction from 2018 to around 2030, followed by the replacement of mine warfare and survey/hydrographic ships, border force ships, and other minor vessels and so on, (again appears to be continuous build).
* Pacific Patrol Boat Replacements - 19 (possibly up to 21?) from 2017 to around 2025, a 'separate' stream at the moment, but I would imagine that eventually when the 'replacements for the replacement' PPB's are due they will 'fold' into the minor naval vessel stream mentioned above.
* The 'missing' fourth stream, the RAN's heavy metal - It's clear there is no local plan for construction of eventual replacement of LHD, LSD and AOR size ships, I'm a little disappointed that the 'plan' doesn't at least address the reasons 'why not', I have my own view why not, but would have liked to have seen the Government's published reasons why not.
To me the 'why not' plan to locally build those large ships is the time gap between replacements (approx. 30 years for a run of 1 to 2 ships), the lack of use for infrastructure for those large ships (again 30ish years between replacements), the problem of building up an 'extra' workforce to build and then wind that workforce down again (but also not to 'interfere' with the three other continuous build streams, etc), can't always have your cake and eat it too!
It may well be that when the 'yet to enter service' two AOR's are due for eventual replacement in approx. 30ish years we may add them onto someone else production run, same for Choules (around 2030) and the 'possible 2nd LSD', I would imagine that when the Spanish and Dutch are looking at replacements for their Choules type 'cousins' we might be added to their respective production runs, same for the LHD's, would assume around another 30 years service life ahead of them.
Infrastructure
In regard to infrastructure (and this aligns with the missing fourth stream), no mention of enlarging the ship lift at Techport beyond it's current capacity.
Apart from that there is mentioned of significant infrastructure upgrades, be interesting to see the final plans for the upgrades to both Techport and Henderson in the, hopefully, not too distant future.
Construction 'methods' for the Future Frigates (and beyond?)
One thing I did find interesting is the paragraph below:
"3.12 The existing infrastructure is sufficient to enable the continuing block assembly of Australia’s three air warfare destroyers
(noting the majority of the block construction was undertaken in other shipyards) and is largely suitable for construction of the smaller and less complex offshore patrol vessels.
However, it is inadequate for high productivity construction (versus block consolidation) of major surface combatants such as the future frigate. The capability and capacity of the Osborne South facilities will need to be upgraded substantially to support the Naval Shipbuilding Plan."
So what exactly does "high productivity construction (versus block consolidation)" mean??
Is that just another way of saying 'all' blocks will be constructed at Techport or will a 'different' method of construction be employed for the Future Frigates? (as opposed the methods employed on the AWD's?).
Anyway, enough for now, have to have another read (and re read) of the plan!
Cheers,