Europe and 5th generation aircraft

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Grand Danois

Entertainer
I disagree with most of what obrescia has posted, however he raises one valid point.

If computing power continues to rise at the current rate we will soon have the resources to set the radar at an extremely sensitive level.

That sea spray would not be travelling an 1000km/h like a stealthy inbound target so with enough computing power it could be ignored revealing the stealthy enemy aircraft.

Obviously there will be a limit on how sensitive you can go as computing power demand would increase exponentially for any slight increase in sensitivity.

To think that the The S-300 or S-400 has enough computing power to do this as obrescia suggests is completely laughable.

In 10 years time when the F-35 is operational with all partner nations the computing power would be high enough to see a stealth target from quite a distance.

The truth of the matter is a VLO stealth target will always be harder to detect regardless of computing power so it still has its advantages.
An S-300 can detect an insect sized object perhaps 50 km away - ballpark? Then it can begin to compute its way looking for fasts insects in 6000 km3 of clutter... My guess is that it'll detect the SDMs before it detects the F-22A.

IOW you can have lots of computing power. You still need to detect it even if it is a supercruising insect.

Another point: Drop basket of the S-300 missiles is reduced to a fraction due to low rcs of the jet...
 
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obrescia

Banned Member
Look for hail stones that fly like jets

Difficult vs less-feasible…are not the same. How does one explain Serbia? End result was one dead stealth jet. Why the pilot’s threat-bubbles display inside the F-22? What does Lockheed know that others refuse to admit?

S-300PMU3 / S-400 Triumf / SA-21 Growler:
In April 2007, Colonel-General Yury Solovyov, commander of the Air Defense Forces Special Command (former Moscow Military District Air Defense Command), said the system could also be used for limited purposes in missile and space defense, but that it is not intended to destroy intercontinental ballistic missiles. However, he said the system is capable of destroying stealth aircraft, cruise missiles and ballistic missiles with an effective range of up to 3,500 kilometers (2,200 miles) and a speed of up to 4.8 kilometers (3 miles) per second.

http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/russia/s-400.htm
 
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Grand Danois

Entertainer
Difficult and not-probable…are not the same. How does one explain Serbia? End result was one dead stealth jet. Why the pilot’s threat-bubbles display inside the F-22? What does Lockheed know that others refuse to admit?
Poor mission planning and box-kill. Stealth is not invincibility nor invisibility. No-one has said that. Strawman? ;)

Threat bubbles? They're no secret, would be silly to get inside a radars detection range when you can kill it from the outside of the bubble. Another strawman?
 

obrescia

Banned Member
Kill what with what? (please no answer needed). Not w/an AIM-120C. So we got some nice new jets to replace our old ones. Isn't that enough? The rest of this is (and has been) chest-beating hyperbole.
 

Grand Danois

Entertainer
Kill what with what? (please no answer needed). Not w/an AIM-120C. So we got some nice new jets to replace our old ones. Isn't that enough? The rest of this is (and has been) chest-beating hyperbole.
Kill the radar with a standoff weapon. Problems with the English language perhaps?
 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
Oh boy I sure missed a lot in only a few hours.

The discussion I had with Darth was with regard to some specific platforms (F-16/MiG-29/F/A-18C). I haven't argued that the tiff was "5th gen". It was about what jet holds most future potential. :)
I was simply putting in my opinion on how to distinguish between different generations of fighter jets. Future potential? Quite possible when compared to legacy 4th gen. But the future is with 5th gen. platforms which are going to enter service in large numbers by 2020, and by 2025 will be available for export to even third world nations (if the Russian and Chinese 5th gen. programs produce something worthy of the name). I am actually of the opinion that the current 4.5th gen is the real 5th gen. The 5th gen. advertised is actually a 6th. gen. that the US reached much faster due to more focused R&D efforts.

No! That's has been one of my arguments. So we agree. ;)
Yes.

I have no clue as to what Kelly Johnsons concerns were, but I have yet to see an explanation on how a S-300/S-400 is going to detect a VLO jet, unless it was very close. Not transient spikes controlled by the flight control system against a geolocated threat, not via ambient signals scattered from the VLO jet (particularly when they fly above 10k ft).
A stealth plane is simply smaller in RCS. So..... a more powerful radar could detect it.

So they must use voodoo magic.
Come on. We all know there is only one type of magic, albeit one defense contractors are very good at. It's called marketing. ;)
 

DarthAmerica

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro
Kill what with what? (please no answer needed). Not w/an AIM-120C. So we got some nice new jets to replace our old ones. Isn't that enough? The rest of this is (and has been) chest-beating hyperbole.
Perhaps you have never heard of SDB or the JDRADM. Or the thousands of AGM-88s that have been fired at IADS in past conflicts. Do you pay attention when people say "out systemed"? Do you realize that IADS have limits on how many targets they can handle at one time? Do you realize that you don't have to score kinetic kills to mission kill an IADS platform? Do you understand that IADS are not a new concept anymore and have very well established history of being obliterated by offensive air operations? Did you know that emitting IADS have an inherent disadvantage in terms of survivability? Have you ever asked yourself why that is?

Were you also aware that Russian Generals and engineers have a habit of alleging that their IADS are inpenetrable? Have you also ever stopped and considered the sheer volume of airspace an attacker has to work with and that most radars only cover a fraction of it? Do you also understand that there are multiple points of failure in the kill chain a VLO plane can exploit?

Just as VLO aircraft are not invincible, IADS Russian, American, European or Chinese are equally not invincible. The difference is stealth tactics technology and kinematics have a demonstrated repeated history of success in overcoming IADS. Also, it makes you look very misinformed to bring up a singular event like the F-117 shoot down as evidence to support a case to support your points?

  • Its one out of thousands of sorties making it almost statistically meaningless
  • You act as if IADS evolve and improve while VLO aircraft technology is static
IADS have an abysmal record vs even non-VLO platforms. ~.0017% in ODS per sortie. Thats it! Most of that in daylight by MANPADS and AAA barrages with one via Mig-25. It was probably worse in OAF where the AIM-120 proved to be devastatingly effective BTW. Think about what you write.

-DA
 
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DarthAmerica

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro
A stealth plane is simply smaller in RCS. So..... a more powerful radar could detect it.

No! Brute force has been a Soviet/Russian counter for decades and it has never been enough. If the issue was simply a matter of turning up the volume then VLO issues would have been solved long ago. When you amplify a signal or increase the sensitivity of a receiver, guess what else gets amplified?


-DA
 

Scorpion82

New Member
IADS have an abysmal record vs even non-VLO platforms. ~.0017% in ODS per sortie. Thats it! Most of that in daylight by MANPADS and AAA barrages with one via Mig-25. It was probably worse in OAF where the AIM-120 proved to be devastatingly effective BTW. Think about what you write.

-DA
There you are indeed rising a point you previously claimed to be invalid, also non stealth platforms can survive an advanced IADS. Of course stealth increases survivability and offers some additional options, but the combination of careful planning tactics, standoff weapons and long range stand off weapons should be able to deal with such kind of threats as well. And here we come back to the original topic. As the Europeans are allied with the US they can reject stealth aircraft to some extent as the US will pose the ability to "kick down the door". That's also something of a design concept for the european fighters like the Eurofighter which isn't well understood. Aircraft like the Eurofighter were designed to complement other assets within the NATO.
 

DarthAmerica

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro
There you are indeed rising a point you previously claimed to be invalid, also non stealth platforms can survive an advanced IADS. Of course stealth increases survivability and offers some additional options, but the combination of careful planning tactics, standoff weapons and long range stand off weapons should be able to deal with such kind of threats as well. And here we come back to the original topic. As the Europeans are allied with the US they can reject stealth aircraft to some extent as the US will pose the ability to "kick down the door". That's also something of a design concept for the european fighters like the Eurofighter which isn't well understood. Aircraft like the Eurofighter were designed to complement other assets within the NATO.
Nothing I said invalidates anything. You just misunderstand. Non-VLO aircraft flying in the US Military have the benefit of systems that European airforces don't even have established doctrine on not to mention the technology or funding to procure. Europe would be repeating past mistakes to be reliant on a foreign power to successfully execute it's foreign policy. Historically stand-off weapons have not been enough by themselves to achieve the results the US Military gets in combat operations. We learned that in ODS. Add to that Europe lacks the SEAD, tanker, ISR and all weather precision attack capabilities the USA does. The result is more European combat aircraft exposed to hostile fire for longer time which is the way IADS kill modern aircraft. With these deficiencies in mind IADS have improved significantly since ODS.

And I haven't even addressed the command structure, doctrinal issues, or the availability of European assets without regard to national identity. Europe and the United States are not on par militarily or politically.

-DA
 

Scorpion82

New Member
Nothing I said invalidates anything. You just misunderstand. Non-VLO aircraft flying in the US Military have the benefit of systems that European airforces don't even have established doctrine on not to mention the technology or funding to procure. Europe would be repeating past mistakes to be reliant on a foreign power to successfully execute it's foreign policy. Historically stand-off weapons have not been enough by themselves to achieve the results the US Military gets in combat operations. We learned that in ODS. Add to that Europe lacks the SEAD, tanker, ISR and all weather precision attack capabilities the USA does. The result is more European combat aircraft exposed to hostile fire for longer time which is the way IADS kill modern aircraft. With these deficiencies in mind IADS have improved significantly since ODS.

And I haven't even addressed the command structure, doctrinal issues, or the availability of European assets without regard to national identity. Europe and the United States are not on par militarily or politically.

-DA
Europe won't fight any major war against anyone without US support. There is no realistic threat which Europe will have to face alone anytime soon. What kind of enemy do you think about which country and for what reason? The problem Europe has is that the nations don't follow a common foreign and defence policy. Though the situation has improved over the years and though Europe tries to become more independent it will need quite some time to establish a similar combat system as the US. With similar I just mean in terms of major capabilities, though it is unlikely to ever match the US capabilities by limited defence spending, partitially doubled efforts due national interests. Europe won't start one war after another for what reasons ever. There is currently no theater in sight which aircraft like the Typhoon or Rafale couldn't handle. Europe isn't going to war with major powers like China, India or Russia. Not even the US is likely to go to war with any of these countries for obvious reasons.
 

obrescia

Banned Member
They retired the F-117 shortly afterwards (or because of) the Balkans, which makes it very relevant....unfortunately some would say.
 

obrescia

Banned Member
I like it!!...AGREED!!!

Europe won't fight any major war against anyone without US support. There is no realistic threat which Europe will have to face alone anytime soon. What kind of enemy do you think about which country and for what reason? The problem Europe has is that the nations don't follow a common foreign and defence policy. Though the situation has improved over the years and though Europe tries to become more independent it will need quite some time to establish a similar combat system as the US. With similar I just mean in terms of major capabilities, though it is unlikely to ever match the US capabilities by limited defence spending, partitially doubled efforts due national interests. Europe won't start one war after another for what reasons ever. There is currently no theater in sight which aircraft like the Typhoon or Rafale couldn't handle. Europe isn't going to war with major powers like China, India or Russia. Not even the US is likely to go to war with any of these countries for obvious reasons.
I agree!!!! nice job man!
 

gf0012-aust

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Verified Defense Pro
They retired the F-117 shortly afterwards (or because of) the Balkans, which makes it very relevant....unfortunately some would say.
No they didn't.

F-117 retired this year. The serbian shootdown was years ago
F-22 has superior LO management and a broader autonomous capability.

Replacing a 26 year old 1st generation LO platform with an asset that can actually communicate in flight without compromising its mission seems normal iterative capability and platform development to me.

I think you need to look at the post mission assessment of how the Serbs achieved their success. It's not (as is so simplistically repeated) an example of the vulnerability of LO platforms.

Don't lookay the event from an idealogical or fan club perspective - look at it from an engineering perspective.
 
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gf0012-aust

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Verified Defense Pro
Oh ok...yes, I believe the correct marketing term would be HARM-like.
HARM-like is completely removed from the functional reality.

it's an issue of signal and emissions management - and subsequent engagement.

the analogy you use is incorrect, it's akin to saying that a tractor is a car just because it has 4 wheels. HARM is not kinetic signal suppression - it's a specific technology response to a given emission set.
 

Fritz

New Member
From public sources, i have gathered following info:
F-22 internal fuel ~20500 lbs, max speed dry thrust ~M1.7.
Combat Radius F22(NM) Mission 1 (Sub+Super) 310+100nm


F-22 internal fuel ~20500 lbs,
(2 x F119-PW-100 engine)
~50,000 lbs Mil thrust @ ~0.74 lb/lb.hr = ~0.55 hr= 33 min,
(or 185 Edit nm combat radius @M1.7)
Edit: or 309 nm combat radius @M1.7


EF Typhoon internal fuel ~10,000 lbs
(2 x EJ200 engine)
~27,000 lbs Mil thrust @ ~0.78 lb/lb.hr = ~0.4748 hr= 28.5 min,
or 188 nm combat radius @M1.2

Admin: Please read the Forum Rules about posting behaviour. We do not want to see cut and pastes without meaningful commentary. We all know how to get stats, we're interested in peoples opinions and analysis - not slabs of data.
 
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DarthAmerica

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro
Europe won't fight any major war against anyone without US support. There is no realistic threat which Europe will have to face alone anytime soon. What kind of enemy do you think about which country and for what reason? The problem Europe has is that the nations don't follow a common foreign and defence policy. Though the situation has improved over the years and though Europe tries to become more independent it will need quite some time to establish a similar combat system as the US. With similar I just mean in terms of major capabilities, though it is unlikely to ever match the US capabilities by limited defence spending, partitially doubled efforts due national interests. Europe won't start one war after another for what reasons ever. There is currently no theater in sight which aircraft like the Typhoon or Rafale couldn't handle. Europe isn't going to war with major powers like China, India or Russia. Not even the US is likely to go to war with any of these countries for obvious reasons.
Wow where to begin with such a fundamentally flawed view of warfare. You must have an amazing crystal ball. I'll start by taking you on a trip back through time...to the 1930's. While the United States and Russia had to intervene and stop Nazi Germany from taking over Europe. There was a considerable length of time where INDIVIDUAL European nations had to survive on their own and failed to include powerful nations like France.
The French found themselves entangled in Viet Nam long before the United States intervened there. In 1956 the United States and Europe nearly went to with each other during the Suez Crisis. There was the French Algerian War. There was the Falklands Conflict that put major U.K. Surface combatants on the ocean floor because the U.K. was ill prepared to defend itself from modern threats. On the other side of that equation there was Turkish refusal to allow the U.S. Military access to Iraq just prior to combat operations. There are no French troops fighting in Iraq due to differences in policy. The list goes on. Facts, history and common sense do not support you at all.

But you are right about one thing. Europe will not go to war. That's because there is no "Europe" as a homogeneous military entity. So France may war while the U.K. and Germany decide that the conflict is not in their interest. And if they do help, there is not a seemless integration of capability. Also, in the US does help, there are limited to the significance of European contributions as was demonstrated during Operation Allied Force. You are basically assuming the USA will bail out Europe. Dangerous considering the USA is a nation weary of war on the brink of a huge shift in ideology.

Finally, wars today are'nt about being able to handle a threat. Militarily most major powers and the United States can deal with any threat. The problem is that there is a huge aversion to casualties built into the US and European public. A broken shattered Rafale captured on camera felled by S-300 with Algerian Military personnel dragging a dead or captured French pilot out of the wreckage can have strategic consequences. Events like this can be statistically insignificant and still resonate enough in a democracy enough to affect the outcome of a war. You don't need a major power threat to face this. The Serbs could put you in this situation.

-DA
 

Scorpion82

New Member
From public sources, i have gathered following info:
F-22 internal fuel ~20500 lbs, max speed dry thrust ~M1.7.
Combat Radius F22(NM) Mission 1 (Sub+Super) 310+100nm


F-22 internal fuel ~20500 lbs,
(2 x F119-PW-100 engine)
~50,000 lbs Mil thrust @ ~0.74 lb/lb.hr = ~0.55 hr= 33 min,
or 185 nm combat radius @M1.7

EF Typhoon internal fuel ~10,000 lbs
(2 x EJ200 engine)
~27,000 lbs Mil thrust @ ~0.78 lb/lb.hr = ~0.4748 hr= 28.5 min,
or 188 nm combat radius @M1.2
Well calculating range from SFC is quite misleading, let alone that Typhoon's internal fuel load is about 11000 lb. And BTW do you calculate the range with max internal fuel not considering takeoff, RTB etc.?
 

DarthAmerica

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro
Well calculating range from SFC is quite misleading, let alone that Typhoon's internal fuel load is about 11000 lb. And BTW do you calculate the range with max internal fuel not considering takeoff, RTB etc.?
Or the operating altitudes. Not to mention the math and the specifications are wrong. 33 min at M1.7 is not 185nm. Nor do we know what the F-22 maximum speed in dry thrust is. I've read in OSINT reports of it cruising faster than that dry.

-DA
 
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