Fighting a Second Falklands War

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Izzy1

Banned Member
Just interested to hear any views with regards Britain's current ability to fight a Second Falklands War or conflict of that ilk.

Has our sea/air lift capability improved since 1982? What would the Fleet do without an air defence fighter in the form of the Sea Harrier FRS.Mk2? Has Argentina the capability to once again seize the islands? Would we see Nimrods flying with Sidewinders again??!!


Personally, I think we still could still mount an-1982 style operation. Would like to hear anyone's thoughts on the subject.
 

Dr Phobus

New Member
Well, our amphibious ability has improved: 1 ocean, 2 Albion, 1 Argo, (soon) 4 bay, 1 Galahad, plus 4 Ro-Ro heavy lift vessels.

RN can also deploy 3 carriers.

The T-42 is obsolete yet sea dart has undergone some improvement, CIWS are wide-spread, sea wolf and sea wolf VLS is widespread and soon to be deployed in a block 2 form. There is also more towed array equipped ships.

Submarine force is highly capable and in numbers.

Plenty of Chinook and WAH 1 gunships, and medium lift helicopters.

Air power: well plenty of Gr 7/9 harriers, with PGM ability but lack radar and ARAAMM.. I just hope the sea harriers are sitting in month ball somewhere, my bet is that a small force are doing exactly this. Also, real numbers of effect AEW with surface and land search ability in the form of sea-king aew mk 7..So if all three are available then that a vast improvement over what we had 23 years ago. From a navel perspective, there is also evidence of a real growth.

As for the UK land forces, well, as good as always..

The Argentinians forces have suffered due to lack of funding. They primary warplanes are what they were flying 23 yrs ago. modified sky hawks, some super-etendards, Mirage III/V variants. They lack BVR, and are low in numbers.

There navy has improved, 4 meko class destroyers and 6 meko class corvettes, still, the up graded of the systems. They have 2 TR1700 subs, good boats, fast and quiet. However, there's only 2 and lack towed array.
 
A

Aussie Digger

Guest
In addition on the Argentine side, they are bound to have increased their stocks o vital weapon systems such as Exocet ASM's and laser guided bombs/missiles.

The Super Entendard/Exocet combination could have won the war for Argentina in 1982, however they had a grand total of 5missiles and France refused to supply anymore (when the conflict was on).
 

Izzy1

Banned Member
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Despite plenty of views to the contrary, I do think we are in pretty good shape militarily to conduct such an operation again.

Yet as stated, my biggest fear is lack of fleet air defence and AD is right with regards Exocet. I am sure I heard that Aerosptaile/Matra restarted deliveries shortly after the conclusion of the 1982 conflict.

Always surprised me that Argentina didn't go down the Russian military supply route after the war.
 

ThunderBolt

New Member
I am not British nor Argentinian, but why are you thinking of another such operation such as Falklands, and i am pretty sure if another operation like Falklands would occur it will be worser than the one earlier.
 

KGB

New Member
ThunderBolt said:
I am not British nor Argentinian, but why are you thinking of another such operation such as Falklands, and i am pretty sure if another operation like Falklands would occur it will be worser than the one earlier.
The British now have a substantial military presence in the Falklands/Malvinas so another surprise ocupation like in the 80's is not likely. The English and Argentines are more likely to come to blows during the next world cup than in the falklands;)
 

LancerMc

New Member
I am with KGB that the UK and Argentinian soccers team with meet before they go to war. It is true the Argentinian military has seen short fall after short fall in funding and new equipment. The only was Argentina could effectively take over the island again is taking out the RAF fighter stationed in the islands. If they did that the RAF and RN would soon arrive and take over islands again. While the RAF/RN don't have BVM's any more, they do have cruise missiles that can take out the AAF on the ground from a distance. So the UK would easily win another Falklands War.
 

zoolander

New Member
not much has changed for argentina but much has changed for britain. The RN is much better than argentinas. The RN maintains air supuriority and sea supuriority. With the Type 45s i wouldnt fly my planes anywhere near that. i dont think those 40km exonot missiles will do much now.
 

ArjunMK1

New Member
Argentines lost Falklands due to lack of air launched AShMs !!!
Their airforce really a superb job , but with only iron bombs even Gould couldn't help them . :( They had only 4 air launched Excocets !!


Perhaps Argentina might purchase somne Brahmos from India , and when the air launched missile will be ready , Mirages may be modified to carry a single missile under the fuselarge !!! :kar
 

chrisrobsoar

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro
ArjunMK1 said:
Argentines lost Falklands due to lack of air launched AShMs !!!
Their airforce really a superb job , but with only iron bombs even Gould couldn't help them . :( They had only 4 air launched Excocets !!


Perhaps Argentina might purchase somne Brahmos from India , and when the air launched missile will be ready , Mirages may be modified to carry a single missile under the fuselarge !!! :kar
The Argentinians had 5 Excocet missiles, they all hit something.

We do not want nor need a re-match.

(Agreed the Airforce was very brave).
 

KAPITAIN

New Member
In regards to saying the type 42 is obsolete is not true, the type 42 even though old is still a capible unit none the less espcialy if paired off with a type 22 or type 23 frigate.

the argentine navy no longer have the 25th of may aircraft carrier and they lack funds also so a second falklands war is not going to happen any time soon.

Not all 5 hit thier targets one ran out of fuel and hit the water. (in regards to exocet posting)

We now have more advanced harriers and Airborne Early Warning aircraft which we lacked during the first war, this means sea dart and other such missile and even fighters can be vectored in and killed at greater ranges.

I personaly have been onboard HMS Manchester a type 42 destroyer despite her age she is still capible of defending british intrests and i know they have been tasked to protect american aircraft carriers in the gulf, and ive also heard that during the 1991 gulf war a type 42 engauged and shot down two missiles fired at an american ship. (ive only heard this dont quote)


with HMS Fearless and Intrepid turning up it was like watching an episode of the antiques road show, but now with HMS Ocean Bulwark and Albion not to mention the new RFA landing ships it means we can pack more troops in less ships and also more equipment in less ships and still get the job done.

The TR-1700 Submarines are good seaworth boats lacking the towed aray system which makes detection that much more difficault of a SSN.

Today the royal navy SSN's are amoungst the worlds most advanced nuclear submarines and the new Astute class on further that, i believe the royal navy SSN's could anialate the argentine navy in a one and out.
 

KGB

New Member
There was an account that the French actually supplied England with information on how to neutralize the Exocets at some point during the Falklands campaign. Obviously this must have come after the RN took some serious hits (and after the Exocet's market value climbed due to the free publicity). This information was only released much later after the war.

Thus I'm surprised to see that the Argentines bought more exocets after they were betrayed in a way by their suppliers.
 

KAPITAIN

New Member
Exocet is not 100% french infact its part british too the manafacturer MBDA is owned partly by BAe systerms (Hence the B in the name).

So britian knew how to stop exocets, if you look at ships hit there was a foolish reason, sheffield was on a satalite phone so the radar didnt work to pick the missile up, another missile was blocked by two ships crossing paths. and so on.
 

chrisrobsoar

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro
“Not all 5 hit thier targets one ran out of fuel and hit the water. (in regards to exocet posting)”
I mentioned earlier that all 5 Exocet missiles, hit “something”. There was debate at the time about what happened to one of the missiles. There were reports that it had run of fuel and had hit the sea. There were also reports that, after burnout, but still travelling at high speed, it diverted from its course and dived to attack a large object on the surface, wreckage, ice flow, or a whale? Post burnout the missile has the capability to transfer lock to another target within range. We concluded that the missile had been launched at too greater range to hit the original target and post boost had acquired and attacked another target (unknown); however it wasn’t a “miss”.

“We now have more advanced harriers and Airborne Early Warning aircraft which we lacked during the first war, this means sea dart and other such missile and even fighters can be vectored in and killed at greater ranges.”
The few remaining FA2 Sea Harriers were retired from service last week. Of about 60 that were built 15 were new builds and 45 were rebuilt from the FSR1 Sea Harriers, which were used in the Falklands Conflict. The re-builds were suffering from corrosion and were running out of fatigue life and some of the new builds had already been damaged beyond repair. Due to a combination of cost cutting, poor performance in the Gulf (caused by the high temperature) and small number of aircraft available the aircraft was retired. (NB: The FA2 was based on the all-metal Harrier I). Recently the UK has agreed to sell 8 FA2s to India (essentially all the remaining serviceable aircraft).

The Joint Harrier Force with still be able to deploy Harrier GR7/GR9s crewed by RN & RAF pilots. (Note that this aircraft is based on the Harrier II and is similar to the USN AV8B). GR7/GR9s can carry two AIM-9L Sidewinders, but have no radar, hence just have a limited self-defence capability. (I.E. This does not offer the fleet protection from aircraft carrying anti-ship missiles launched from long-range).

The Harriers we can deploy now have less air-to-air capability than we had in 1982.

After the 1978 retirement of the carrier-based Gannet AEW.3 we relied on the Shackleton AEW.2s, which during the Falklands Conflict could not provide cover.

In 1982 we had to rely on the ship’s radar.

The following link is from a model site, but it is succinct and accurate. The RN currently has 9 AEW Sea King Helicopters. The equipment is the same as the “quick-fix” deployed at the end of 1982, but the helicopter engines have been improved.

The new EH101 Merlins helicopters have yet to be modified for this role.

The AWAC aircraft & AEW helicopter would certainly be able to give an early warning of attack, but without adequate air to air capability from the Harrier, the ships would have to rely on thier own missile systems and CWI to intercept the missile after it was fired, rather than attack the carrying aircraft.

http://www.helis.com/database/go/uk_sea_king_41.php

http://www.raf.mod.uk/equipment/sentry.html

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sea_Dart_missile


“There was an account that the French actually supplied England with information on how to neutralize the Exocets at some point during the Falklands campaign. Obviously this must have come after the RN took some serious hits (and after the Exocet's market value climbed due to the free publicity). This information was only released much later after the war.”
The French government provided information on the operation of the Exocet Missile to the British government soon after as the Argentines landed on South Georgia.

However, the UK also used the ship borne version of the missile and with much assistance from the US determined how to defeat the missile. The problem was that we could not build and deploy the counter-measure quickly enough to stop being hit.
(This information was provided to the French as a “Thank-You” for their help and I think resulted in improvements to the missile). Later the RN ships were equipped with improved counter-measures to spoof Exocet Missiles.

“Thus I'm surprised to see that the Argentines bought more exocets after they were betrayed in a way by their suppliers”
I do no think that they knew that the French government (not directly the suppliers) provided the intelligence to the UK government. I’m not sure how many additional Exocets they were able to purchase.


“Exocet is not 100% french infact its part british too the manafacturer MBDA is owned partly by BAe systerms (Hence the B in the name).”
Yes and no. Aerospatiale developed the missile and was the supplier in 1982. Later British Aerospace & Aerospatiale became partners in the MBSA joint venture.


“So britian knew how to stop exocets, if you look at ships hit there was a foolish reason, sheffield was on a satalite phone so the radar didnt work to pick the missile up, another missile was blocked by two ships crossing paths. and so on”.
As mentioned above, we knew how to create a counter-measure to spoof the missile but we could not deploy it in time. However this meant that we were relying on hard kills using missiles and guns. There was a problem with interference between the satellite communications system and the long-range radar that had been know for years, but had not been fully fixed.

And yes apparently one ship crossed in the path of another, which had a firing solution, but this sort of “stuff” happens during war.

In summary.

We have better AEW, poorer Air-to-Air fighter cover and would have to rely on missiles and guns to protect the fleet.

We have fewer ships, many of the types we used then are still in service (Type 42).

IMHO: We could not re-take the Falklands, certainly not in the same way as we did in 1982. Nor do I think that there is any political will in Argentina for a re-match.
 

crazypole

New Member
Just as an extra thought to throw into the pot... the army would be hard pressed to have to find the troops needed to mount a quick response, like in 1982. What with troops spread over the middle-east in the "war on terror", there can't be all too many spare forces around. I write this with no knowledge of the actual state of affairs, so could be wrong.
 

jimma

New Member
Have just finished reading a book about this. Apparently now we would be in a position to get large troop carrying air vehicles to the islands and be there before the Argies! All we had to do was extend the runway!!

hi all - great forum!
 

Neutral Zone

New Member
It might be closer than many think when we have leaders like Mr Chavez threatening revenge for the Malvina's yesterday and definately rattling his sabre.

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/us_and_americas/article2368707.ece
There's a discussion about those comments going on on another thread ;)

http://www.defencetalk.com/forums/showthread.php?t=6595&page=4

The view on this and other forums is that it's just some macho posturing to allow Chavez to brag about all the new toys he's buying. There's no appetite in Argentina for a "Falklands 2" and if Chavez goaded Argentina into attacking and supplied them with weapons then the U.S. would probably sieze the opportunity to try and bring him down.

Looking back over the previous posts, people were mentioning the improvements in Britain's AEW capability since 1982, particularly the RN's Sea Kings. Wouldn't the RAF's E-3's also be available? They could base out of Ascension and supported by Tristars and in a few years the A330 tankers operate right down into the South Atlantic and provide AEW cover?
 

Super Nimrod

New Member
Yes that is correct.

The real joker in the pack though is Tomahawk and both Venezuela and Argentina know that UK attack subs could sit 200 miles offshore and give them serious problems miltarily.

How far can the Venezuelan airforce fly attack missions offshore ? The Atlantic is still pretty wide near them and any UK forces heading south could always head down the african Coast, and would have support from Ascension for the middle Atlantic
 

swerve

Super Moderator
In the last war, both sides kept operations (except for a little recce) to the disputed territories. The Argentineans considered raids elsewhere, e.g. Ascension, but did not attempt them. I suspect that one reason was that they believed it would mean open season on Argentinean shipping for our subs.

Chavez must have advisers who will point out to him that any action outside the Falklands & their environs would run the same risk. Tomahawks hitting airbases in Venezuela would be political disaster for Chavez (he'd be shown to be helpless to protect his own country). And imagine a strike on Venezuelan oil installations.
 
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