dragonfire
New Member
Here's a scenario that can start of as a local conflict evolving into a conventional conflict and then mature into a nuclear scenario
Major - Players: India, Pakistan, China, US, Russia
The surgical strikes and localised conflicts
A Major terrorist attack happens on Indian soil, Public sentiments in India force the political leadership to retaliate by undertaking surgical strikes at terrorist camps in POK (this might involve bombing forward Pakistani air bases on the pretext of offensive defensive to it attacks on the camps). Scores are made on either side and Indian and Pakistani Fighters engage. Mobilisation on both sides
Conventional Conflict
The Indian strikes have the suprise element so perhaps the invading forces have gained some uppper hand. Pressure on the Leadership of Pakistan to retailiate - here two things can happen (A) The leadership orders retailiation or (B) The military takes over through a coup. Indian strike corps enter POK with a view to never allow these terrorist camps to be used again and Pakistani forces retaliate by attacking the borders in Rajasthan, Gujarat and Punjab. Attacks use armoured columns and infantry with coordinated air strikes as well.
Now there is a full blown conventional warfare in progress. While the indian attacking force in POK has made gains into the POK territory similar gains can be made by Pakistani forces (or not - occupying each others land as a bargaining chip has been an old doctrine seen both the '65 and '71 wars)
The Indian Navy effects a naval blocade of karachi, perhaps losses again on either side - more subs involved compared to last time. Battles are being fought across as each side is trying to defend and consolidate. However the Indian side has gained on two grounds (1) Surprise element (2) Size
In the meanwhile China has done two things (a)they have mobilsed quickly in eastern sector and used the China National Highway 219 to attack indian positions and rapidly gain grounds in this sector, PLAAF also starts doing recces, indian side is taken by surprise (b) PLAN send its nuc subs after the Indian flotila in the Arabian Sea as well other eastern seaports, it sinks a Indian Navy vessel in reposnse to Indian destruction of PN assets. USN redirects a carrier group to the arabian sea as well as one to the bay of bengal or to the indian ocean. Russia sides with India and offers support they also mobilise and engage China on their borders
Nuclear Threat
The losses to the Pakistani side prompts a strike on the BARC (Baba Atomic Reactor Centre) in Mumbai or a threat to do so, apart from which there is a threat to New Delhi for a nuclear attack. India strikes or retains the option of striking the Kahuta facility as well as Islamabad. Both sides are discovered by US satelites where prepping of missiles are being undertaken
All along the international community tries to prevail upon both countries to stand down - India says it had no choice beacuse of the terrorist attacks, Pakistan states that India attacked them and has every right to dfend themselves
Is this scenario a reality i think so, because it all starts with terrorist attacks on indian soil and the indian govts reaction to it, if they react then the scenario is possible - comments invited
Major - Players: India, Pakistan, China, US, Russia
The surgical strikes and localised conflicts
A Major terrorist attack happens on Indian soil, Public sentiments in India force the political leadership to retaliate by undertaking surgical strikes at terrorist camps in POK (this might involve bombing forward Pakistani air bases on the pretext of offensive defensive to it attacks on the camps). Scores are made on either side and Indian and Pakistani Fighters engage. Mobilisation on both sides
Conventional Conflict
The Indian strikes have the suprise element so perhaps the invading forces have gained some uppper hand. Pressure on the Leadership of Pakistan to retailiate - here two things can happen (A) The leadership orders retailiation or (B) The military takes over through a coup. Indian strike corps enter POK with a view to never allow these terrorist camps to be used again and Pakistani forces retaliate by attacking the borders in Rajasthan, Gujarat and Punjab. Attacks use armoured columns and infantry with coordinated air strikes as well.
Now there is a full blown conventional warfare in progress. While the indian attacking force in POK has made gains into the POK territory similar gains can be made by Pakistani forces (or not - occupying each others land as a bargaining chip has been an old doctrine seen both the '65 and '71 wars)
The Indian Navy effects a naval blocade of karachi, perhaps losses again on either side - more subs involved compared to last time. Battles are being fought across as each side is trying to defend and consolidate. However the Indian side has gained on two grounds (1) Surprise element (2) Size
In the meanwhile China has done two things (a)they have mobilsed quickly in eastern sector and used the China National Highway 219 to attack indian positions and rapidly gain grounds in this sector, PLAAF also starts doing recces, indian side is taken by surprise (b) PLAN send its nuc subs after the Indian flotila in the Arabian Sea as well other eastern seaports, it sinks a Indian Navy vessel in reposnse to Indian destruction of PN assets. USN redirects a carrier group to the arabian sea as well as one to the bay of bengal or to the indian ocean. Russia sides with India and offers support they also mobilise and engage China on their borders
Nuclear Threat
The losses to the Pakistani side prompts a strike on the BARC (Baba Atomic Reactor Centre) in Mumbai or a threat to do so, apart from which there is a threat to New Delhi for a nuclear attack. India strikes or retains the option of striking the Kahuta facility as well as Islamabad. Both sides are discovered by US satelites where prepping of missiles are being undertaken
All along the international community tries to prevail upon both countries to stand down - India says it had no choice beacuse of the terrorist attacks, Pakistan states that India attacked them and has every right to dfend themselves
Is this scenario a reality i think so, because it all starts with terrorist attacks on indian soil and the indian govts reaction to it, if they react then the scenario is possible - comments invited