World War III - Flash Point to Nuclear Scenario

Status
Not open for further replies.

dragonfire

New Member
Here's a scenario that can start of as a local conflict evolving into a conventional conflict and then mature into a nuclear scenario

Major - Players: India, Pakistan, China, US, Russia

The surgical strikes and localised conflicts
A Major terrorist attack happens on Indian soil, Public sentiments in India force the political leadership to retaliate by undertaking surgical strikes at terrorist camps in POK (this might involve bombing forward Pakistani air bases on the pretext of offensive defensive to it attacks on the camps). Scores are made on either side and Indian and Pakistani Fighters engage. Mobilisation on both sides

Conventional Conflict
The Indian strikes have the suprise element so perhaps the invading forces have gained some uppper hand. Pressure on the Leadership of Pakistan to retailiate - here two things can happen (A) The leadership orders retailiation or (B) The military takes over through a coup. Indian strike corps enter POK with a view to never allow these terrorist camps to be used again and Pakistani forces retaliate by attacking the borders in Rajasthan, Gujarat and Punjab. Attacks use armoured columns and infantry with coordinated air strikes as well.

Now there is a full blown conventional warfare in progress. While the indian attacking force in POK has made gains into the POK territory similar gains can be made by Pakistani forces (or not - occupying each others land as a bargaining chip has been an old doctrine seen both the '65 and '71 wars)

The Indian Navy effects a naval blocade of karachi, perhaps losses again on either side - more subs involved compared to last time. Battles are being fought across as each side is trying to defend and consolidate. However the Indian side has gained on two grounds (1) Surprise element (2) Size

In the meanwhile China has done two things (a)they have mobilsed quickly in eastern sector and used the China National Highway 219 to attack indian positions and rapidly gain grounds in this sector, PLAAF also starts doing recces, indian side is taken by surprise (b) PLAN send its nuc subs after the Indian flotila in the Arabian Sea as well other eastern seaports, it sinks a Indian Navy vessel in reposnse to Indian destruction of PN assets. USN redirects a carrier group to the arabian sea as well as one to the bay of bengal or to the indian ocean. Russia sides with India and offers support they also mobilise and engage China on their borders

Nuclear Threat
The losses to the Pakistani side prompts a strike on the BARC (Baba Atomic Reactor Centre) in Mumbai or a threat to do so, apart from which there is a threat to New Delhi for a nuclear attack. India strikes or retains the option of striking the Kahuta facility as well as Islamabad. Both sides are discovered by US satelites where prepping of missiles are being undertaken

All along the international community tries to prevail upon both countries to stand down - India says it had no choice beacuse of the terrorist attacks, Pakistan states that India attacked them and has every right to dfend themselves

Is this scenario a reality i think so, because it all starts with terrorist attacks on indian soil and the indian govts reaction to it, if they react then the scenario is possible - comments invited
 

Ryan UK

New Member
well there seems to be no diplomatic actions here. China wouldn't join the war without putting pressure on India first. Russia definitely would not join the war so quickly if at all, its wishes for no conflict with china.

Im also not sure where the US comes into play, along with Britain, Australia who have interests in the area
 

John Sansom

New Member
Dragonfly's scenario for a WWIII start-up has a surface validity. The dynamics are there, but some of the other players appear to be absent in terms of their capacity to step in one way or the other to put a lid on things.

However, and all that notwithstanding, I can't help but think back to the Mumbai "event" and the TV coverage thereof. One particular picture stays with me; that of Indian police wandering around with automatic rifles but no body armour, and quite obviously not knowing what they were supposed to do. Meanwhile, a gent who appeared to be their section commander strode up and down demonstrably giving contradictory orders.

This is certainly not to criticize the bravery or effectiveness of others on-scene, but the thought of this mini non-response being magnified on an international scale is decidedly alarming.

And that is where the real danger lies.
 

SABRE

Super Moderator
Verified Defense Pro
I think the thread requires approval of moderators board as it pass for a "versus" thread. Closing till/if approved.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top