Stryker001
Banned Member
Ismail Serageldin, a former senior vice-president of the World Bank, once wrote: 'The next World War will be over water.' China's green light for the project could indeed be considered a declaration of war by South Asia. (www.rediff.com/news/2003/oct/27spec.htm, October 23, 2003 )
The above statement still rings true as if China was not to take action to secure water supplies in the future a displacement would occur from Chinese territories. With the reduction of Monsoonal, rainfall that has been occurring these countries below India and China cannot sustain an increase in population.
Forcing a mass movement further down towards Indonesia and Australia. The result for Australia and Indonesia is the same regardless of the ethnic orgin of the displaced people. Indonesia is a frontline and buffer to such a problem and it would be in Australia’s interest to conduct joint operations to prevent Indonesia from being affected, specifically maritime operations.
Small releases of water downstream from China would only be conducted to reduce salinity levels, leaving those below without seasonal flows, and water that cannot be consumed causing the mass movement of people into South East Asia eventually hitting the Pacific Rim.
This would place serious strains on Australian and Indonesia’s military, but as proven with the boat people incursions in past years Australia is a clear final destination. Indonesia would face territories such as West Papua, West Timor being occupied by displaced people as a staging grounds once the Indonesian military move them on. Papua New Guinea and Timor Leste face similar threats.
The response from the incursions of displaced people will result in people moving down not up after the initial event depending on Russia. Part of the displacement will be diversified with movement of people to Russia then Europe and Iran could be affected as a gateway to the Middle East.
If Russia took a strategic decision and movement was allowed to occur via Russia, Europe would face serious consequences due to the influx of people. Russia as with South East Asia and Indonesia would be a transition point for displaced people. The UK would be able to secure England’s boarders from what is occurring in Europe and as the UK has its own currency, there is a certain degree of economic stability.
Clearly, in such a world humanitarian aid would be non-existent and the only reason aid is given is to prevent the mass movement of populations affecting neighboring countries. A compromise is not as easy to achieve as people envisage, China has a cap on its population as China’s need for water increases, meaning that any compromise would require a purge of Chinese citizens.
Therefore, via water security China could also act strategically with the mass displacement. If China and India fight a conventional war, a large displacement of people would also occur anyhow. As the origins of the rivers start in Chinese territories, they have every right to act on water security. A bit like a farmer diverting water and the next properties allocation being reduced.
A Similar topic to what Mick Keelty has previously stated although in reference to climate change and the Pacific Rim. If both events happen within a decade of each other, Australia would face chaos.
http://www.american.edu/ted/ice/brahmaputra.htm
A counter to mass displacement HAARP or the Russian equivalent + H5N1 then Thermobaric = Homeland Security.
The above statement still rings true as if China was not to take action to secure water supplies in the future a displacement would occur from Chinese territories. With the reduction of Monsoonal, rainfall that has been occurring these countries below India and China cannot sustain an increase in population.
Forcing a mass movement further down towards Indonesia and Australia. The result for Australia and Indonesia is the same regardless of the ethnic orgin of the displaced people. Indonesia is a frontline and buffer to such a problem and it would be in Australia’s interest to conduct joint operations to prevent Indonesia from being affected, specifically maritime operations.
Small releases of water downstream from China would only be conducted to reduce salinity levels, leaving those below without seasonal flows, and water that cannot be consumed causing the mass movement of people into South East Asia eventually hitting the Pacific Rim.
This would place serious strains on Australian and Indonesia’s military, but as proven with the boat people incursions in past years Australia is a clear final destination. Indonesia would face territories such as West Papua, West Timor being occupied by displaced people as a staging grounds once the Indonesian military move them on. Papua New Guinea and Timor Leste face similar threats.
The response from the incursions of displaced people will result in people moving down not up after the initial event depending on Russia. Part of the displacement will be diversified with movement of people to Russia then Europe and Iran could be affected as a gateway to the Middle East.
If Russia took a strategic decision and movement was allowed to occur via Russia, Europe would face serious consequences due to the influx of people. Russia as with South East Asia and Indonesia would be a transition point for displaced people. The UK would be able to secure England’s boarders from what is occurring in Europe and as the UK has its own currency, there is a certain degree of economic stability.
Clearly, in such a world humanitarian aid would be non-existent and the only reason aid is given is to prevent the mass movement of populations affecting neighboring countries. A compromise is not as easy to achieve as people envisage, China has a cap on its population as China’s need for water increases, meaning that any compromise would require a purge of Chinese citizens.
Therefore, via water security China could also act strategically with the mass displacement. If China and India fight a conventional war, a large displacement of people would also occur anyhow. As the origins of the rivers start in Chinese territories, they have every right to act on water security. A bit like a farmer diverting water and the next properties allocation being reduced.
A Similar topic to what Mick Keelty has previously stated although in reference to climate change and the Pacific Rim. If both events happen within a decade of each other, Australia would face chaos.
http://www.american.edu/ted/ice/brahmaputra.htm
A counter to mass displacement HAARP or the Russian equivalent + H5N1 then Thermobaric = Homeland Security.
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