Pakistan might use nuclear weapons against India: CIA report
Washington, Jan 16 (UNI) Pakistan, under plausible scenarios, might use nuclear weapons to counter success by the larger Indian conventional forces, particularly given Islamabad's lack of strategic depth, a CIA think tank has said.
However, in its 114-page report titled ''Mapping the Global Future'', the National Intelligence Council (NIC), the US Intelligence Community's centre for mid-term and long-term strategic thinking, said both India and Pakistan appear to understand the likely prices to be paid by triggering a conflict.
''But nationalistic feelings run high and are not likely to abate. Under plausible scenarios, Pakistan might use nuclear weapons to counter success by the larger Indian conventional forces, particularly given Islambad's lack of strategic depth,'' the CIA report said.
''Advances in modern weaponry longer ranges, precision delivery, and more destructive conventional munitions create circumstances encouraging the pre-emptive use of military force,'' it added.
The increased range of new missile and aircraft delivery systems provides sanctuary to their possessors.
Should a conflict occur that involved one or more of the great powers, the consequences would be significant, the NIC said.
The report is the third unclassified document prepared by the NIC, a CIA think tank, in the past seven years that takes a long-term view of the future.
It also said that the United States will continue to be called on to help manage conflicts such as Kashmir, Palestine, North Korea and Taiwan to ensure they do not get out of hand if a peace settlement cannot be reached.
Experts assess that the majority of international terrorist groups will continue to identify with radical Islam. The revival of Muslim identity will create a framework for the spread of radical Islamic ideology both inside and outside the Middle East, Western Europe, Southeast Asia and Central Asia, it said.
This revival has been accompanied by a deepening solidarity among Muslims caught up in national or regional separatist struggles, such as Kashmir, Palestine, Chechnya, Iraq, Mindanao, or southern Thailand and has emerged in response to government repression, corruption, and ineffectiveness, it added.
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Hmm not good. I hope CIA is wrong. Would anyone wanna nuke a country that can nuke it back?
Washington, Jan 16 (UNI) Pakistan, under plausible scenarios, might use nuclear weapons to counter success by the larger Indian conventional forces, particularly given Islamabad's lack of strategic depth, a CIA think tank has said.
However, in its 114-page report titled ''Mapping the Global Future'', the National Intelligence Council (NIC), the US Intelligence Community's centre for mid-term and long-term strategic thinking, said both India and Pakistan appear to understand the likely prices to be paid by triggering a conflict.
''But nationalistic feelings run high and are not likely to abate. Under plausible scenarios, Pakistan might use nuclear weapons to counter success by the larger Indian conventional forces, particularly given Islambad's lack of strategic depth,'' the CIA report said.
''Advances in modern weaponry longer ranges, precision delivery, and more destructive conventional munitions create circumstances encouraging the pre-emptive use of military force,'' it added.
The increased range of new missile and aircraft delivery systems provides sanctuary to their possessors.
Should a conflict occur that involved one or more of the great powers, the consequences would be significant, the NIC said.
The report is the third unclassified document prepared by the NIC, a CIA think tank, in the past seven years that takes a long-term view of the future.
It also said that the United States will continue to be called on to help manage conflicts such as Kashmir, Palestine, North Korea and Taiwan to ensure they do not get out of hand if a peace settlement cannot be reached.
Experts assess that the majority of international terrorist groups will continue to identify with radical Islam. The revival of Muslim identity will create a framework for the spread of radical Islamic ideology both inside and outside the Middle East, Western Europe, Southeast Asia and Central Asia, it said.
This revival has been accompanied by a deepening solidarity among Muslims caught up in national or regional separatist struggles, such as Kashmir, Palestine, Chechnya, Iraq, Mindanao, or southern Thailand and has emerged in response to government repression, corruption, and ineffectiveness, it added.
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Hmm not good. I hope CIA is wrong. Would anyone wanna nuke a country that can nuke it back?