Far as I know two LHD are in consideration which are french and spainsh,the mistral and navantia/tenix.Both designes are capable,but I perfer the spanish just because it can carry more troops.AS for a carrier ADF was looking at least four different countries such as italy,france,uk,spain.But choose LHD,S instead.Ah so I missed the boat in that conversation thanks anyway
Much as I would love to see the rebirth of fixed wing aviation in the RAN I just can't see it happening in the next ten years at least. The reality is that the government faces difficulties in funding its existing re equipment priorities and also has a huge problem with recruiting and retaining personnel.Just throwing this out there but Carriers for the RAN am I dreaming or ill look at one when i'm 50 speaks for itself.
Will we possibly ever get a carrier or are we just going to stay in bed with America on that one?
The FFG-UP Adelaide class frigates seem likely to be retained until the "frigate replacement project" kicks off once the AWD build phase is completed.Much as I would love to see the rebirth of fixed wing aviation in the RAN I just can't see it happening in the next ten years at least. The reality is that the government faces difficulties in funding its existing re equipment priorities and also has a huge problem with recruiting and retaining personnel.
I believe that the best case scenario at the moment will be to ensure that the present program goes ahead without distractions. The current Defence Capability Plan indicates that this should provide a combat force in approx 10 years time of:
2 x LHD (Navantia or Mistral type)
3 x AWD (Gibbs and Cox or F101 type)
8 x FFH (Anzac class)
6 x SSK (Collins class)
14 x PB (Armidale class)
6 x MCM (Huon class)
http://www.defence.gov.au/dmo/id/dcp/dcp.cfm
If a surge capability is needed I believe that the two newest of the FFGs could possibly be kept on for a few more years (but that is supposition on my part).
As I have said in other threads I would like to see a small number of F35Bs included in an Australian purchase of the JSF to give the LHDs the capacity to embark fixed wing aircraft for close support of troops and limited air defence and strike. I believe this is achievable (providing the F35B is built!).
I would also like to see a fourth AWD constructed.
Once the above force is securely in place I believe that Australia could then consider a carrier force if expansion is warranted and the budget is available. Ships along the lines of the new Italian Cavour class look ideal. I have always argued that a minimum of two carriers is needed to make a viable force but the presence of the LHDs would mean that one of these could supplement a lone carrier when required. If such a program was to be authorised we would be looking well beyond 2020 to see it in place. A decision to take this path would all depend on what threats Australia may face in the future.
Cheers
I agree. I cannot see circumstances changing to the point where an Australian Government seriously contemplates acquiring a proper "Carrier" for RAN. For starters we don't operate the escorts needed to protect one and tt would take a major shift in policy as well as a significant funding boost to acquire even a squadron sized group of F-35B's to operate from the LHD's.As far as a true carrier is concerned, Australia can barely afford one, she'll need at least two and possibly a third to maintain full time operations. I would rather have two LHDs than one CVL. And as noted before, sea lift is more important than a true carrier presently.
There is a logical reason why the nations that operate carriers want at least two. They may only have one, but they want two.
I quite agree. Further, I'm not sure that I would like to see the RAN with a dedicated carrier... As I see it, there are only three reasons that Australia would re-introduce a dedicated aircraft carrier. Either there is an increase in the threats Australia faces, needing the addition of a carrier and other forces, and an increase in threats is not a good thing. Or, there is rising militarism in Australia, which tends to not work in a free society. Lastly, it is something purchased to show off with, as opposed to actually use, which would just be a waste of money the gov't could do better things with.I agree. I cannot see circumstances changing to the point where an Australian Government seriously contemplates acquiring a proper "Carrier" for RAN. For starters we don't operate the escorts needed to protect one and tt would take a major shift in policy as well as a significant funding boost to acquire even a squadron sized group of F-35B's to operate from the LHD's.
A proper "carrier" seems all but impossible for RAN to seriously contemplate...
Agreed.Australia has regularly needed the ability to land ground forces into troubled/failed Pacific island nations. This seems to be the biggest security concern of Australia, probably for the next 10-20 years.
These troubled/failed Pacific island nations have little in terms of fighter aircraft, warships or heavy armour. So no fixed wing carrier is needed at this time. There's literally nothing for a fixed wing carrier's aircraft to strike against!
The proposed LHD amphibious ships would appear to be outstanding platforms to meet these requirements.
Combined with their medical facilities, this type of ship is also useful to assist (in a non threatening way) with natural disasters, which unfortunately hit this area with equal regularity.
Like the other respondents, I see no need for Australia to have a fixed wing carrier...
I can think of a thousand scenarios where such a CV would be useful. The biggest of which is a Falklands type scenario. Yes I know such a thing could never happen, but, didn't the Brits also think that about the Malvinas and Argentina? I can remember thinking a war in the Mideast against Saddam would never happen, or , nobody would ever fly airplanes into buildings. The simple fact is The Pacific is still the Pacific and Australia is still a major regional power with important regional interests/security requirements.Like the other respondents, I see no need for Australia to have a fixed wing carrier...
See the contradiction? How can you do above safely and effectively without local air cover? Sure you can send land based air if the op is close enough. But there is no substitute for CV based air operating closely to the land op. That's why we built and float 25 of the things. So if the need for your second quote is there, then so is the need for the CV.Australia has regularly needed the ability to land ground forces into troubled/failed Pacific island nations.
Although I've long been an enthusiastic supporter for fixed wing aviation in the RAN I have to concede that Australia could not justify the need for an aircraft carrier now or in the forseeable future. Even with massive increases in spending I think there are many other defence priorities that would keep a carrier on the back burner.Australia has regularly needed the ability to land ground forces into troubled/failed Pacific island nations. This seems to be the biggest security concern of Australia, probably for the next 10-20 years.
These troubled/failed Pacific island nations have little in terms of fighter aircraft, warships or heavy armour. So no fixed wing carrier is needed at this time. There's literally nothing for a fixed wing carrier's aircraft to strike against!
The proposed LHD amphibious ships would appear to be outstanding platforms to meet these requirements.
Combined with their medical facilities, this type of ship is also useful to assist (in a non threatening way) with natural disasters, which unfortunately hit this area with equal regularity.
Like the other respondents, I see no need for Australia to have a fixed wing carrier...
For a Falklands-type scenario to occur requires Falklands-type circumstances, i.e. a detached territory, with someone capable of grabbing it you can't overpower locally without carriers, but can defeat with carriers. Australia isn't in that situation, any more than, e.g., Switzerland is.I can think of a thousand scenarios where such a CV would be useful. The biggest of which is a Falklands type scenario. Yes I know such a thing could never happen, but, didn't the Brits also think that about the Malvinas and Argentina? ...
... How can you do above safely and effectively without local air cover? .
I guess what could come closest to the Falklands situation would be an intervention like the one in Timor, but a bit farther away (ie outside the range of land-based F18s or F111s). Though of course I don't see Australia ending up in a shooting war with Indonesia or any of her large Asian neighbors. Though who knows what can happen in 30 years time (military coups, revolutions, extremists taking power, separatist movements...:shudder )For a Falklands-type scenario to occur requires Falklands-type circumstances, i.e. a detached territory, with someone capable of grabbing it you can't overpower locally without carriers, but can defeat with carriers. Australia isn't in that situation, any more than, e.g., Switzerland is.
As has already been said, the LHDs can provide all the air cover needed to intervene in the Pacific islands. There are no combat aircraft or air defences in any of them. Attack helicopters are overkill for most circumstances, & perfectly adequate for the most extreme that might be envisaged.
Intervention against who? All the Pacific islands that Australia might intervene in lack any kind of air cover, or air defences. Except for Fiji & Papua New Guinea, they have either no armed forces, or such small ones that Australia could walk in. Even Fiji & PNG have no ability to put up more than token resistance to an Australian landing.I guess what could come closest to the Falklands situation would be an intervention like the one in Timor, but a bit farther away (ie outside the range of land-based F18s or F111s). Though of course I don't see Australia ending up in a shooting war with Indonesia or any of her large Asian neighbors. Though who knows what can happen in 30 years time (military coups, revolutions, extremists taking power, separatist movements...:shudder )
cheers
First off Australia has her treaty obligations. Secondly you have already lost many citizens in the GWOT and its not beyond the impossible that a regional country becomes a open terror supporting state that's hostile to Australia. But the biggest reason is that the future of this world is going to be one big crunch for resources. AND Australia has, and is in a region, that is going to become very important for resource hungry powers. Most of all China! Two examples I would use would be New Guinea and New Caledonia.For a Falklands-type scenario to occur requires Falklands-type circumstances, i.e. a detached territory, with someone capable of grabbing it you can't overpower locally without carriers, but can defeat with carriers. Australia isn't in that situation, any more than, e.g., Switzerland is.
You hope. In ending I would ask all of you to compare the world today with the one 20 to 30 years ago and ask yourself, "who forecasted it"? The future holds no end to possible scenarios with the only absolute fact is that, without question, there will be another war. There is always another war around the corner and the only real defense against it starting is the maintenance of military strength.They'd be multinational, with land bases available from the neighbours, & probably owners of carriers helping out.
How many Sout Pacific Nations operate ANY air force at all? Very few.I can think of a thousand scenarios where such a CV would be useful. The biggest of which is a Falklands type scenario. Yes I know such a thing could never happen, but, didn't the Brits also think that about the Malvinas and Argentina? I can remember thinking a war in the Mideast against Saddam would never happen, or , nobody would ever fly airplanes into buildings. The simple fact is The Pacific is still the Pacific and Australia is still a major regional power with important regional interests/security requirements.
And its not like Australia has no history with CVs. You have even sent them to war in the past. Of course, such a war could never happen again. Yaknow theres a reason I read so much History all the time.
See the contradiction? How can you do above safely and effectively without local air cover? Sure you can send land based air if the op is close enough. But there is no substitute for CV based air operating closely to the land op. That's why we built and float 25 of the things. So if the need for your second quote is there, then so is the need for the CV.
But I agree with you that the window for the new Aussie carriers was open back in the 80's when you retired the light carriers you had at the time. I remember quite a talk about it back then, but if Cold War realities couldn't get them built then todays realities couldn't.
Pity really. Australia's CVs had a short but accomplished life.